Hawaii vs Colorado State 10/27/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Hawaii winning 47% of simulations, and Colorado State 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Hawaii commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Colorado State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sean Schroeder is averaging 259 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Chris Nwoke is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is COLST -5.5
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